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Australian dwelling prices are forecast to rise next year, however it is predicted to be at a slower pace than the past three years.
SQM Research released its 2016 Housing Boom and Bust Report which predicts that average capital city dwelling prices will rise between 3 and 8 per cent for the full calendar year. That is down from the current 9.8 per cent recorded for the 12 months to June 2015.
In a move not experienced for some years, the big four banks all announced increases to their variable home loan rates despite no shift in the RBA’s cash rate, citing regulatory changes as the cause. The decision to raise rates “reflects the significant additional cost of capital banks are now required to hold against home lending,” Mark Whelan, chief executive officer of ANZ’s Australian business, said in a statement. The move dragged the Australian dollar lower as it spurred speculation that the RBA may cut interest rates further to offset higher home-loan costs for borrowers.
NZ: In Auckland the median house price is now about nine times the average income and remains a risk to the country's economy.
In New Zealand property news, Finance Minister Bill English warned that the housing market in Auckland, where the median house price is now about nine times the average income, remains a risk to the country's economy. "The longer it goes on rising at 20 to 25 per cent a year, the more of a risk it becomes," he said.
He also said the government would come under huge political pressure to provide assistance to middle-income families if interest rates rose. "As households get a bit stretched in meeting the rising cost of housing, it inevitably creates pressure for governments to lift the cash transfer programs."
He mentioned that in the mid-2000s, interest rates of 8 to 9 per cent meant the government had to compensate by making big increases in Working for Families subsidies and by introducing interest-free student loans. Mr English said the Government would rather "get the market right" than have to provide more assistance to families and that it was introducing new rules to increase the supply of housing over the next few months.